Experts say an abandoned Chinese space station will careen back to earth on April 3. And it looks like ground zero for the debris may be somewhere in Lower Michigan. Do you have a helmet I can borrow?Although most experts say the debris will be too small to be consequential, Michigan is the main target for the fall out.

According to latitude estimates released by the European Space Agency, the risk area was shifted from New Zealand to lower Michigan recently. And that is a BIG shift, seeing how we're 10,000 miles away from New Zealand.

But before you put your helmet on, WRAL in Raleigh, NC says those predictions are changing daily:

A number of those reports mention specific areas such as Michigan. While the shape of the orbit does place areas near the 43 degrees north and south latitude at a slightly higher impact probability, that is only by a few percentage points.

Such a specific claim is not unlike a member of the WRAL weather team spotting a hurricane forming off the African coast and predicting the mile post along North Carolina’s Outer Banks where it will hit weeks in advance. Sure, the location of the Outer Banks puts it at a higher risk for storms, but this is a wild guess at best that you’ll never see out of a scientist. estimates you have a better chance of winning the PowerBall lottery than getting hit with space crap.

The probability that a specific person (ie, you) will be struck by Tiangong-1 debris is about one million times smaller than the odds of winning the Powerball jackpot.
Only one person has been hit by debris falling out of orbit since the Space Race began back in the 1960s. Little Lottie Williams was walking in a park in Tulsa, OK in 1997 when a six inch chunk of metal, which was later verified to be part of the Delta II rocket. Williams was not injured.
So even though the odds are against it, it may be time to look the heavens and wonder, is some crap gonna fly down here and hurt me?

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